21點基本策略教您這樣玩,套用這些打贏莊家
真人娛樂

21點基本策略教您這樣玩,套用這些打贏莊家

開始教21點策略之前先向大家解說數牌,21點數牌是21點中一個常見的小技巧與上一篇的機會率很想似,用已有資訊去計算自己的下一張牌是大點數或小點數從而增加自己的勝算,首先可以將牌分為三類低點牌(2~6)、中性牌(7~9)、高點牌(10~A),每有一張牌出現您就需要開始進行心算如果出現低點牌您可以在心中加1高點牌牌就減1而中性牌就加0,例如檯面上的牌有7、5、6、8、Q、2、A您的心算便是0+1+1+1-1+1-1=1正數的總和代表剩餘面點數較大負數則代表剩餘牌面點數較小,數牌總數趨往0是正常的總數要較大或較小,參考價值才會較高例如-13便可得知剩餘較多小點數牌,當自己牌面點數較大時候便可更放心加牌,適逢洗牌時玩家需要由0開始重新數牌。

雖然賭博中有個博字但我們其實也可以有把握的賭一把,所謂的基本策略這個表以代表您考慮了多種因素讓您可以作出最安全的決定,只是21點已經有很多不同決定加牌、停牌、分牌、加倍下注,如果手牌總點數為11點或以下您絕對沒有爆牌的危機,因為牌最大只有10點數所以您應該加牌,如果您的手牌是11點或10點閒家應考慮加倍下注,在不會爆牌的前提下加上牌面上的優勢您有很大機會會得到21點但需要留意,加倍下注後閒家只能在獲得一張牌這個機會有多大?我們現在算一算假設你手持8、3共11點莊家手持10點您在加一張牌就得到21點的機率是這樣計,由於52張張牌當中已發3張牌所以分母是49分子(4*4-1)等於15張*100%=30.61%因為加倍投注後閒家只能在獲發一張牌與其他情況相較之下11點在抽一張牌得到21點的機率為最高我們在較有把握的情況下值得在此碰碰運氣。

如果手牌總點數為12~16點您便要考慮莊家的點數再作決定,如果莊家手持4~6點莊家將有較大機會爆牌,所以閒家不應加牌應靜待莊家自爆,如果莊家手持7~11點,莊家將會有較大機會得到17點或以上的點數所以閒家需自行加牌與莊家鬥大,我們再以例子計算一下假設您手持6、9共15點莊家手持6點如果您繼續加牌即將爆牌的機率是55%,但如果您停牌莊家爆牌的機率會是多少呢?莊家在獲得17點前都需要再加牌也就是說除非莊家獲發11點數的A,否則莊家揭開暗牌後最少要在加一張才可以停手,但這樣會令莊家手牌大於21點的機會實在太多,整合所有可能性後莊家手持6點會爆牌的機率是42%玩家則是55%,當然要將這個危機轉移至莊家。

21點軟牌策略

如果您手上有一張A由於A可以作計一點,您完全沒有爆牌的煩惱所以可以加牌,如果您手上的總點數為18~20點那麼您就不要貪心了,因為您的點數已經夠大足以跟莊家鬥,得到3點至1點的機率比得到7點至10點小您更加不應該冒險爆牌的風險去加。

21點分牌策略

如果您手持兩張相同點數的牌閒家可以考慮分牌,但J、Q、K則例外,需要相同字母組成一對才可以分牌,同時要為分出來的牌另外下注,如果您手持兩張A您便應該直接分牌就如剛才說A是軟牌分牌後您使得到兩份優勢的手牌,如果是兩張10點牌就絕對不要分牌因為20點勝算很高,反而分牌後未必可再獲得20點牌面兩張9點牌的話閒家需留意莊家的牌面,若莊家手持具優勢的10或A閒家應保留18點與莊家鬥大,兩張8的組合則較為尷尬16點並不會令您有獲得更大點數的勝算,嘗試獲得更大點數勝過於莊家,兩張5的組合不需要分牌在不會爆牌的前提下,您很有可能會得到大點數牌。

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